How accurate is the AR collections forecast?

Tesorio's ML models achieve 95%+ accuracy for AR collections forecasts by analyzing historical payment behavior, seasonal patterns, and customer-level trends. Accuracy improves continuously as the model trains on your data.

How is this different from spreadsheet forecasting?

Spreadsheet forecasts rely on averages and assumptions. Tesorio predicts at the invoice level using ML that considers customer-specific payment patterns, terms, communication history, and dozens of other signals. The result is dramatically more accurate, and it updates automatically.

Can we use this for working capital planning?

Yes. Many customers use Tesorio's AR forecasts for working capital planning and collection strategy optimization. The rolling format and scenario modeling capabilities help finance teams plan confidently around expected collections.

How quickly does the model learn our patterns?

The ML model begins generating predictions from day one using industry benchmarks and your ERP data. Accuracy improves over the first 60-90 days as the model trains on your specific customer payment behavior.

ML Forecasting

AR Forecasting

Tesorio's Forecasting engine uses machine learning trained on historical payment patterns, customer behavior, and ERP data to predict AR collections at the invoice level. No more spreadsheet gymnastics — get reliable rolling forecasts and scenario modeling for your accounts receivable.

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4.7/5 on G2 (231 reviews)

95%Forecast Accuracy

10xFaster Builds

11Integrations

Trusted by finance teams at

Case study

Product Demo

See AR Forecasting in action

dashboard.tesorio.com/forecasting

AR Forecast

WeekMonthQuarterGroup by: Tesorio Forecast

ForecastCollectedGoal

Forecast

$2.6M

127 Invoices

Collected

$1.2M

54 Cleared

Variance

-$412K

vs. Beginning of Period

Period	Forecast	Collected	Goal
Feb 24Current	$2.6K	$1.2K	$2.4K
Mar 3	$2.2K	—	$2.4K
Mar 10	$2.5K	—	$2.4K
Mar 17	$1.9K	—	$2.4K
Mar 24	$2.8K	—	$2.4K

Timescale: WeeklyLast updated: 2 min ago

Features

How AR Forecasting works

Invoice-Level Payment Predictions

ML models predict when each individual invoice will be paid based on customer payment history, seasonal patterns, invoice terms, and behavioral signals. Predictions update continuously as new data arrives — not just at month-end.

InvoicePredictedConf.Status

INV-4521

Acme Corp

Mar 1594%On Track

INV-3812

DataSync

Mar 888%On Track

INV-5010

CloudBase

Mar 2272%At Risk

INV-7891

TechFlow

Mar 397%Likely Early

ML predictions updating in real-time

Rolling AR Forecasts

Generate accurate rolling AR collections forecasts that finance teams can rely on for working capital planning and collection strategy. Forecasts automatically adjust as invoices are created, paid, or become overdue.

13-Week Collection Forecast

Scenario Modeling

Model what-if scenarios to understand the AR impact of collection strategy changes, customer payment behavior shifts, or macroeconomic conditions. Compare scenarios side-by-side to make informed decisions.

Scenario Comparison

Forecast vs. Actuals Tracking

Track forecast accuracy over time with automated variance analysis. Identify which customer segments, invoice types, or time periods have the highest prediction accuracy — and where the model is still learning.

Forecast vs Actual

$2.4MForecast

High accuracy

-$120K variance

$2.28MCollected

Use Cases

Built for real scenarios

VP Finance

Planning working capital for next quarter

95% accurate AR collections forecasts

VP Finance

Reporting cash position to the board with confidence

Real-time working capital visibility unlocked

FP&A Analyst

Modeling impact of collection strategy changes

Side-by-side scenario comparison in minutes, not days

Workflow

What changes in your workflow

Before

Spreadsheet-based forecasting with manual assumptions
Weekly updates that are stale by the time they ship
No invoice-level prediction granularity
Variance analysis done manually at month-end

After Tesorio

ML-powered invoice-level payment predictions
Continuous rolling forecasts that update automatically
Granular drill-down by customer, segment, or entity
Automated forecast-vs-actuals tracking and alerts

Integrations

Works with the tools you already use

AR Forecasting connects natively with your existing tech stack.

Results

Real outcomes from real customers

95%Forecast Accuracy

87%Forecast Prep Time Reduction

10xFaster Forecast Builds

30%DSO Reduction

What Customers Say

“I've been in and out of it daily. I love being able to drive reporting off of AR Forecast, and not having to build these out manually for each week and agent. Tesorio empowers my team to get the information they need without the spreadsheets.”

Sarah McCauley

Director of Billing & AR, Formerly at GitLab

Better Together

Works best with

AI Collections

Collections Agent

Turns overdue invoices into cash — without adding headcount. AI drafts personalized follow-ups, extracts payment promises, and manages your dunning pipeline autonomously.

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AI Cash Application

Cash Application

Payments matched to invoices in seconds. 90%+ auto-match rate across 200+ customers. Partial payments, deductions, and multi-entity matching handled automatically.

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Workflow Automation